EDITOR'S NOTE
Stocks tried to rebound Tuesday from recent worries about the economy triggered by an inversion of the yield curve, a recession indicator. But the bounce, initially led by technology stocks like Apple, didn't quite take with major indexes closing off their highs. It's possible, now that the first quarter is coming to a close and earnings results are just around the corner, investors have turned their attention from macroeconomic concerns to profits. After all, earnings are supposed to drive stock prices. In the chart below, you'll see the earnings picture is not all that great. Jeff Cox points out that technology stocks specifically are giving negative forecasts about the first quarter at a pace not seen in six years. For this first quarter, analysts now expect earnings to decline for S&P 500 companies by 3.7 percent. Yet the S&P 500 remains up more than 11 percent this year and tech stocks are up even more. Either earnings need to turn around in the subsequent quarters or this comeback doesn't quite add up and the yield curve is right. If the bond market recession signal is correct, Kate Rooney has the kinds of stocks that outperform and underperform in the environment leading up to recession. TOP NEWS
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