EDITOR'S NOTE
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell breezed through his high-stakes speech today without so much as rippling the markets, but then came President Trump's response. Trump has been setting up the Fed as a scapegoat for whatever happens to the U.S. economy as he continues swapping tariffs with China. But markets reacted positively to Powell, despite an expectation that he might disappoint.
"The speech was rather short and uncontroversial," wrote J.P. Morgan's Michael Feroli in a note to investors.
But Trump's reaction to both Powell and China was not. And it signaled that he is nowhere near a negotiated trade agreement or even another truce with China.
Any U.S. business in China, or doing business with China, has got to be thinking about their supply chains – regardless of whether Trump actually has the authority to order them out. And anyone dreading a recession has more to fear.
Yet, for all anyone knows, Trump's extremes could moderate with another tweet. Uncertainty floods the world with his every keystroke. What is the Fed to do?
"This is metastasizing," wrote Mark Zandi, chief economist Moody's Analytics. "Businesses of all stripes have to be nervous about this."
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