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If not in my backyard, then whose?

Plus, a mansion fit for Queen Victoria — in Pennsylvania.
͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ 
September 30, 2023 • Issue #111
Money Moves

Happy Saturday!

This week, we’re discussing how the NIMBYs may be turning into YIMBYs, what a government shutdown could do to the housing market and a Victorian gem in Pennsylvania.

We need more homes, but where do we put them?
Sale
Money, Getty Images

Everyone agrees we need more houses for sale. No one agrees on how to make that happen.

For years, the not-in-my-back-yard (NIMBY) mentality has put a roadblock on countless new construction projects designed to increase population density throughout the U.S. But with more and more Americans struggling to find a home they can afford, that may have to change. 

According to a recent survey by brokerage Redfin, nearly one in five respondents are in favor of policies that would promote building new local housing. The rationale is easy to understand: More homes means enough supply to meet buyer demand, which would, in turn, lower home prices (without requiring a market crash) and increase affordability for everybody. And in a housing market where home prices and mortgage payments are sky-high, the desire for cheaper alternatives has reached epic proportions.

But while most Americans agree that more homes + lower price tags = good, most don’t want their neighborhood to be part of the equation. According to the survey, only a third of those who agree the housing market is in desperate need of more inventory would welcome a new apartment complex in their neck of the woods. The reason? They like their peace and quiet, and don’t want that to change — and as a result, many U.S. neighborhoods are in a new construction stalemate.

“Personal preferences and ideas about theperfect neighborhood tend to overshadow what people know to be true and beneficial about dense housing,” Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin, recently told me.

Where do we go from here?

Fairweather says it's on state and federal governments to break the impasse.

“The only way out of the NIMBY spiral is through bipartisan legislation,” she says.

Fortunately, the tide appears to be changing; not quickly, but at least steadily. Over the past few years, state governments have started to rethink traditional land zoning regulations.

In 2021, California Governor Gavin Newsom signed legislation that would increase the production of affordable housing while making it easier for property owners to build higher-density buildings, including townhomes and duplexes, in an effort to ease the state’s housing deficit. And earlier this year, Montana Governor Greg Gianforte signed a law revising zoning laws to allow more accessory dwelling units (AKA ADUs or “mother-in-law suites”) to be built on single-family plots.

“These are the policies every state needs to dig us out of this inventory and affordability crisis,” Fairweather tells me.

Would a government shutdown affect mortgages?
Shutdown
Money, Getty Images

As if homebuyers don’t have enough to worry about, a possible government shutdown — set for October 1st unless Congress gets its act together — could strike a painful blow to the market.

Melissa Cohn, regional vice president at William Raveis Mortgage, tells me a shutdown could cause “a bit of a roller-coaster effect” for every buyer who needs to finance their home purchase with a government-backed loan, and every seller on the other end of that transaction.

For starters, most federal offices will either close or work with the equivalent of a skeleton crew. The Department of Housing and Urban Development (which includes the Federal Housing Administration), for example, will be working with a limited number of employees. 

According to the agency’s contingency plan, the FHA will continue to endorse single-family home loans, but because there will be fewer employees working, the process will take longer to complete, and lead to delays in getting loans approved.

If you are an older homeowner looking into getting a reverse mortgage, forget about it. The FHA won’t be endorsing any of those loans during the shutdown. The U.S. Department of Agriculture won’t be issuing any new loans through its rural development program, either. (Loans guaranteed by the Department of Veteran Affairs will still be available, as will private lender loans.)

Buyers who are financing properties in flood-prone areas would also be affected, since the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) is one of the agencies set to halt operations if a shutdown happens.

“No lender will close without the flood insurance,” Cohn says.

Perhaps the greatest effect would be psychological. Parisa Afkhami, a real estate agent with brokerage Coldwell Banker Warburg, says many buyers will panic and decide to “put the [buying] process on hold.”

To be clear, this isn’t the first time the entire U.S. government has gone radio silent: This has already happened 21 (!) times in the last 50 years. The most recent shutdown, which was the longest in history, lasted from December 2018 to January 2019. But after three-plus years of pandemic madness, soaring prices and negligible inventory, the housing market could use a break.

Listing of the week
Exterior
Brian Castro, Virtual Vista Real Estate Photography
A Victorian mansion at a very un-mansion-like price

This beauty of a home in Reading, Pennsylvania was built in 1888 and still has many of its original features.

The antique light fixtures have been restored to a lustrous brilliance and the parquet floors have been refinished to a mirror-like shine. Stained glass windows and balconies abound. The great room (yes, that’s a thing) has hand-painted murals by Hungarian-trained artist Paul Daubner. But the best part is the full kitchen on the second floor — no need to sneak downstairs for a midnight snack.

The home has six bedrooms and three and a half baths, a large backyard and a covered front porch I just spent 20 minutes daydreaming about lounging on (lemonade in hand, obviously). It’s listed by Sean -Devine of Sands & Company Real Estate, and it can be yours for a very proper $497,000.

Interior
Brian Castro, Virtual Vista Real Estate Photography

’Til next time,
Leslie
P.S. Have you seen a unique listing on social media I should feature in this newsletter? Or have a question about housing or mortgages you desperately want answered? Let me know on Twitter at @LeslieLCook or via email at leslie@money.com.

P.P.S. Have a friend who loves real estate or is looking for a home of their own? Please forward them this email or send them to the Money Moves subscription page.

Money’s Essential Home Buying Resources: Fall 2023

On the hunt? Check out Money’s Mortgage Calculator, list of The Best Mortgage Lenders and look at the latest mortgage rates.

Thinking of refinancing? Our list of The Best Mortgage Refinance Companies can help. You can also use our Mortgage Refinance Calculator or these refi tips.

Key question: How much house can I afford?

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