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When António Guterres wraps up his second term as Secretary-General of the United Nations this December, a new leader will need to fill his shoes. But over the course of Guterres’ 10-year tenure, those “shoes” have become less and less attractive. |
“U.N. insiders question why anyone would even want the job at such a testing—and turbulent—moment,” write Richard Gowan and Daniel Forti for TIME’s Weekend Essay.
“Some predict that, with major powers repeatedly blocking the U.N. from intervening in crises from Ukraine to Myanmar, and with the U.S. rolling back funding, whoever succeeds Guterres will simply have to continue to do ‘less with less’ and manage a process of institutional decline as gracefully as possible.” |
Still, eight candidates are currently campaigning for the top spot at the “parliament of man.” Frontrunners include Rafael Grossi, Director-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, and Rebeca Grynspan, a senior U.N. trade official and former vice president of Costa Rica. |
Gowan and Forti make the case that each nomination “should come with a warning: Caveat emptor, or buyer beware.” |
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IN TODAY’S BRIEF |
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WEEKEND ESSAY |
Make the U.N. Great Again: The Uphill Struggle Facing The Next Secretary-General |
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Photo-Illustration by TIME (Source Images: Angela Weiss—AFP/Getty Images; Charly Triballeau—AFP/Getty Images |
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It may be both the most prestigious and the most frustrating job in international diplomacy: members of the United Nations are weighing who should succeed António Guterres as Secretary-General when he completes his final term in December. The timing couldn’t be more critical, with U.N.’s fortunes at a historically low ebb, for reasons both political and financial. |
Indeed, U.N. insiders question why anyone would even want the job at such a testing—and turbulent—moment. Some predict that, with major powers repeatedly blocking the U.N. from intervening in crises from Ukraine to Myanmar, and with the U.S. rolling back funding, whoever succeeds Guterres will simply have to continue to do “less with less” and manage a process of institutional decline as gracefully as possible. Others still hold out hope that a new U.N. leader could reverse the slide, and persuade powers large and small to invest in the organization. |
Yet, at a time when global challenges—wars, epidemics, and climate change—continue to proliferate, there is a compelling case for preserving the U.N. as a space for global deal making. Doing so will require a Secretary-General of formidable political skills, capable of persuading world leaders to listen. |
It is a question of balancing two competing imperatives. The U.N. is an organization that rests on international cooperation, but the current global moment is one of international competition. The challenge facing the next Secretary-General is to explain how the U.N. can stay relevant. This is no time to preach the virtues of solidarity among nations. It is necessary to meet governments “where they’re at,” as psychologists say, and accept their rifts are real. A shrewd leader of the U.N. could find ways to help states de-escalate conflicts and cooperate on global challenges out of necessity, not idealism. |
Ultimately, if political leaders do not believe that the U.N., which was founded in 1945 to “save succeeding generations from the scourge of war,” can live up to that founding goal, they are less likely to take it seriously as an authority on other international issues such as Artificial Intelligence or economic cooperation. Making sure that doesn’t happen will be the central challenge for the organization’s next leader. Perhaps each nomination should thus come with a warning: Caveat emptor, or buyer beware. |
Richard Gowan is the Director of Global Issues and Institutions at the International Crisis Group. Daniel Forti is the Head of UN Affairs at the International Crisis Group. |
Read the full essay here… |
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